Olympique Marseille 5–1 Montpellier: Result & Analysis

Olympique Marseille beat Montpellier 5–1 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Player Stat Forecasts

Model projections for the standout individual markets in this match — shots on target, goals, assists and cards.

Yael Mouanga (Montpellier)

Shots 1.5: 99% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 14 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 14 games); Tackles 1.5: 74% under (projected 1, SeasonStats over 14 games).

Geoffrey Kondogbia (Olympique Marseille)

Shots on Target 0.5: 96% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 25 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 96% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 25 games); Shots 1.5: 96% under (projected 0.3, SeasonStats over 25 games).

Amine Gouiri (Olympique Marseille)

Yellow Card 0.5: 96% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 22 games); Tackles 1.5: 90% under (projected 0.5, SeasonStats over 22 games); Assists 0.5: 87% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 22 games).

Naif Aguerd (Olympique Marseille)

Goals 0.5: 94% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 16 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 88% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 16 games); Shots 1.5: 87% under (projected 0.6, SeasonStats over 16 games).

Théo Sainte-Luce (Montpellier)

Goals 0.5: 94% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 16 games); Shots 1.5: 91% under (projected 0.5, SeasonStats over 16 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 83% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 16 games).

Ulisses Alexandre Garcia Lopes (Olympique Marseille)

Shots 1.5: 94% under (projected 0.4, SeasonStats over 20 games); Goals 0.5: 90% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 20 games); Assists 0.5: 90% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 20 games).

Neal Maupay (Olympique Marseille)

Tackles 1.5: 94% under (projected 0.4, SeasonStats over 22 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 91% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 22 games); Goals 0.5: 83% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 22 games).

Timothy Weah (Olympique Marseille)

Goals 0.5: 93% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 29 games); Assists 0.5: 93% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 29 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 84% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 29 games).

Explore

Olympique Marseille stats & form · Montpellier stats & form · Ligue 1 predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on Olympique Marseille vs Montpellier: Referee Stats · Match Story · Match Centre.

Every Olympique Marseille vs Montpellier call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.