RB Leipzig 2–1 St. Pauli: Result & Analysis

RB Leipzig beat St. Pauli 2–1 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Model Forecast

Calls the model is confident enough to make, strongest first. Each states the projection behind it and how risky it is.

Player Prop

Castello Lukeba — UNDER (player_goals 0.5), projected 0.04, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 26 matchs.

Castello Lukeba (RB Leipzig) averaging 0.04 goals/game over 26 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Castello Lukeba — UNDER (player_shots 1.5), projected 0.31, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 26 matchs.

Castello Lukeba (RB Leipzig) averaging 0.31 shots/game over 26 apps; UNDER 1.5 (95%).

Ezechiel Banzuzi — UNDER (player_assists 0.5), projected 0.04, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 24 matchs.

Ezechiel Banzuzi (RB Leipzig) averaging 0.04 assists/game over 24 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Johan Bakayoko — UNDER (player_tackles 1.5), projected 0.25, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 20 matchs.

Johan Bakayoko (RB Leipzig) averaging 0.25 tackles/game over 20 apps; UNDER 1.5 (95%).

Match Result

Match Result — HOME (match_result), projected 0.91, confidence 91%, LOW risk.

Model favours HOME with 91% probability based on season goals form.

Team Prop

St. Pauli — UNDER (team_goals 1.5), projected 0.74, confidence 83%, LOW risk, from 34 matchs.

St. Pauli projected 0.74 goals/game (SeasonStats, n=34); UNDER 1.5 (83%).

St. Pauli — PASS (team_yellow_cards 1.5), projected 1.59, confidence 53%, HIGH risk, from 34 matchs.

No clear edge on St. Pauli Yellow Cards 1.5 line (53% — SeasonStats, n=34).

Explore

RB Leipzig stats & form · St. Pauli stats & form · Bundesliga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli: Win Probability & Scorelines · Head-to-Head Record · Match Centre.

Every RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.