AC Milan 3–2 Atalanta: Result & Analysis

AC Milan beat Atalanta 3–2 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Model Forecast

Calls the model is confident enough to make, strongest first. Each states the projection behind it and how risky it is.

Team Prop

Atalanta — OVER (team_clean_sheet 0.5), projected 1, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 2 matchs.

Atalanta projected 1.00 clean sheet/game (SeasonStats, n=2); OVER 0.5 (95%).

Player Prop

Marco Carnesecchi — UNDER (player_tackles 1.5), projected 0.03, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 37 matchs.

Marco Carnesecchi (Atalanta) averaging 0.03 tackles/game over 37 apps; UNDER 1.5 (95%).

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenço da Silva — UNDER (player_goals 0.5), projected 0.03, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 30 matchs.

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenço da Silva (Atalanta) averaging 0.03 goals/game over 30 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenço da Silva — UNDER (player_assists 0.5), projected 0.03, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 30 matchs.

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenço da Silva (Atalanta) averaging 0.03 assists/game over 30 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Lazar Samardžić — UNDER (player_yellow_card 0.5), projected 0.04, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 26 matchs.

Lazar Samardžić (Atalanta) averaging 0.04 yellow card/game over 26 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Match Result

Match Result — HOME (match_result), projected 0.69, confidence 69%, MEDIUM risk.

Model favours HOME with 69% probability based on season goals form.

Explore

AC Milan stats & form · Atalanta stats & form · Serie A predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on AC Milan vs Atalanta: Win Probability & Scorelines · Head-to-Head Record · Match Centre.

Every AC Milan vs Atalanta call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.