Real Madrid 4–1 Sevilla: Result & Analysis

Real Madrid beat Sevilla 4–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Player Stat Forecasts

Model projections for the standout individual markets in this match — shots on target, goals, assists and cards.

Thibaut Courtois (Real Madrid)

Tackles 1.5: 99% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games).

Kylian Mbappé Lottin (Real Madrid)

Tackles 1.5: 99% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 31 games); Shots 1.5: 95% over (projected 4.7, SeasonStats over 31 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 88% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 31 games).

Odisseas Vlachodimos (Sevilla)

Tackles 1.5: 99% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 33 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 33 games).

Robbie Ure (Sevilla)

Tackles 1.5: 99% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 12 games); Goals 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 12 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 12 games).

Gabriel Alonso Suazo Urbina (Sevilla)

Shots 1.5: 99% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 29 games); Assists 0.5: 93% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 29 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 93% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 29 games).

Lucien Agoume (Sevilla)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 34 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 94% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 34 games); Shots 1.5: 93% under (projected 0.4, SeasonStats over 34 games).

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 33 games); Goals 0.5: 89% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 33 games); Assists 0.5: 76% under (projected 0.3, SeasonStats over 33 games).

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 33 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 33 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 33 games).

Explore

Real Madrid stats & form · Sevilla stats & form · La Liga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on Real Madrid vs Sevilla: Referee Stats · Match Story · Match Centre.

Every Real Madrid vs Sevilla call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.