Málaga 1–3 Villarreal: Result & Analysis

Villarreal beat Málaga 3–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Model vs Market

Our statistical model against the market consensus with the margin removed, market by market.

Full Time Result

Away — market 47% at 2.00, model 50%.

Draw — market 26% at 3.60, model 25%.

Home — market 27% at 3.40, model 25%.

Double Chance

Draw or Villarreal — market 73% at 1.30, model 75%.

Malaga or Draw — market 53% at 1.80, model 50%.

Malaga or Villarreal — market 74% at 1.28, model 75%.

Draw No Bet

1 — market 38% at 2.50, model 34%.

2 — market 62% at 1.50, model 66%.

Both Teams to Score

No — market 41% at 2.25, model 48%.

Yes — market 59% at 1.57, model 52%.

Goals Over/Under 2.5

Over — market 57% at 1.66, model 49%.

Under — market 43% at 2.20, model 51%.

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Málaga stats & form · Villarreal stats & form · La Liga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on Málaga vs Villarreal: Model Picks · Win Probability & Scorelines · Match Centre.

Every Málaga vs Villarreal call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.