Málaga 1–3 Villarreal: Result & Analysis

Villarreal beat Málaga 3–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Player Stat Forecasts

Model projections for the standout individual markets in this match — shots on target, goals, assists and cards.

Pau Navarro Badenes (Villarreal)

Shots 1.5: 99% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 23 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 23 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 84% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 23 games).

Carlos Francisco Puga Medina (Málaga)

Shots 1.5: 99% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 10 games); Tackles 1.5: 79% over (projected 2.9, SeasonStats over 10 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 74% under (projected 0.3, SeasonStats over 10 games).

Izan Merino Rodríguez (Málaga)

Shots 1.5: 99% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 8 games); Tackles 1.5: 91% under (projected 0.5, SeasonStats over 8 games).

José Salinas Morán (Málaga)

Shots 1.5: 98% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 9 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 89% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 9 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 89% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 9 games).

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 34 games); Goals 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 34 games); Shots 1.5: 81% under (projected 0.8, SeasonStats over 34 games).

Sergi Cardona Bermúdez (Villarreal)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 31 games); Shots 1.5: 88% under (projected 0.6, SeasonStats over 31 games); Assists 0.5: 88% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 31 games).

Renato Palma Veiga (Villarreal)

Shots 1.5: 97% under (projected 0.3, SeasonStats over 32 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 91% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 32 games); Tackles 1.5: 87% under (projected 0.6, SeasonStats over 32 games).

Alexander Freeman (Villarreal)

Shots 1.5: 95% under (projected 0.4, SeasonStats over 11 games); Goals 0.5: 91% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 11 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 91% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 11 games).

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Málaga stats & form · Villarreal stats & form · La Liga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on Málaga vs Villarreal: Referee Stats · Match Story · Match Centre.

Every Málaga vs Villarreal call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.