Villarreal 2–3 Deportivo La Coruña: Result & Analysis

Deportivo La Coruña beat Villarreal 3–2 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Model vs Market

Our statistical model against the market consensus with the margin removed, market by market.

Full Time Result

Away — market 14% at 7.00, model 20%.

Draw — market 20% at 4.75, model 27%.

Home — market 66% at 1.44, model 54%.

Double Chance

Draw or Deportivo A Coruna — market 36% at 2.62, model 46%.

Villarreal or Deportivo A Coruna — market 79% at 1.18, model 73%.

Villarreal or Draw — market 85% at 1.10, model 80%.

Draw No Bet

1 — market 83% at 1.14, model 73%.

2 — market 17% at 5.50, model 27%.

Both Teams to Score

No — market 48% at 1.95, model 59%.

Yes — market 52% at 1.80, model 41%.

Goals Over/Under 2.5

Over — market 59% at 1.61, model 38%.

Under — market 41% at 2.30, model 62%.

Total Corners

12 - 14 — market 24% at 3.75.

6 - 8 — market 24% at 3.75.

9 - 11 — market 34% at 2.62.

Over 14 — market 13% at 7.00.

Explore

Villarreal stats & form · Deportivo La Coruña stats & form · La Liga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruña: Model Picks · Win Probability & Scorelines · Match Centre.

Every Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruña call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.