Real Madrid 4–0 Málaga: Result & Analysis

Real Madrid beat Málaga 4–0 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Player Stat Forecasts

Model projections for the standout individual markets in this match — shots on target, goals, assists and cards.

Thibaut Courtois (Real Madrid)

Tackles 1.5: 99% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games).

Kylian Mbappé Lottin (Real Madrid)

Tackles 1.5: 99% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 31 games); Shots 1.5: 95% over (projected 4.7, SeasonStats over 31 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 88% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 31 games).

Carlos Francisco Puga Medina (Málaga)

Shots 1.5: 99% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 10 games); Tackles 1.5: 79% over (projected 2.9, SeasonStats over 10 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 74% under (projected 0.3, SeasonStats over 10 games).

Izan Merino Rodríguez (Málaga)

Shots 1.5: 99% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 8 games); Tackles 1.5: 91% under (projected 0.5, SeasonStats over 8 games).

Rafael Garrido Hierro (Málaga)

Shots 1.5: 97% under (projected 0.3, SeasonStats over 12 games); Assists 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 12 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 92% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 12 games).

Brahim Abdelkader Diaz (Real Madrid)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 30 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 94% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 30 games); Shots 1.5: 91% under (projected 0.5, SeasonStats over 30 games).

Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 29 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 93% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 29 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 93% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 29 games).

Antonio Rüdiger (Real Madrid)

Goals 0.5: 95% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 18 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 95% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 18 games); Shots 1.5: 84% under (projected 0.7, SeasonStats over 18 games).

Explore

Real Madrid stats & form · Málaga stats & form · La Liga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on Real Madrid vs Málaga: Referee Stats · Match Story · Match Centre.

Every Real Madrid vs Málaga call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.