SC Freiburg 4–1 Werder Bremen: Result & Analysis

SC Freiburg beat Werder Bremen 4–1 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Model vs Market

Our statistical model against the market consensus with the margin removed, market by market.

Full Time Result

Away — market 24% at 3.90, model 26%.

Draw — market 27% at 3.50, model 21%.

Home — market 49% at 1.95, model 54%.

Double Chance

Draw or Werder Bremen — market 52% at 1.80, model 46%.

SC Freiburg or Draw — market 75% at 1.25, model 74%.

SC Freiburg or Werder Bremen — market 73% at 1.28, model 79%.

Draw No Bet

1 — market 66% at 1.40, model 67%.

2 — market 34% at 2.75, model 33%.

Both Teams to Score

No — market 44% at 2.10, model 32%.

Yes — market 56% at 1.66, model 68%.

Goals Over/Under 2.5

Over — market 55% at 1.72, model 70%.

Under — market 45% at 2.10, model 30%.

Total Corners

12 - 14 — market 18% at 4.75.

6 - 8 — market 30% at 2.87.

9 - 11 — market 33% at 2.62.

Over 14 — market 7% at 13.00.

Explore

SC Freiburg stats & form · Werder Bremen stats & form · Bundesliga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen: Model Picks · Win Probability & Scorelines · Match Centre.

Every SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.