AC Milan 2–4 Bologna: Result & Analysis

Bologna beat AC Milan 4–2 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — AC Milan: 55%, Draw: 20%, Bologna: 25%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 54%).

The model favours AC Milan (55%) at home: they create 1.9 goals/game against Bologna's 1.3 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 2.2–1.4.

Head to Head

AC Milan and Bologna have met 5 times in the records we hold.

28 Oct 2026 — AC Milan 2–4 Bologna (2026/2027).

Scorers: Samuel Mbangula 8', Alphadjo Cissè 14', Alphadjo Cissè 27', Davide Bartesaghi 60'.

3 Feb 2026 — Bologna 0–3 AC Milan (2025/2026).

Scorers: Ruben Loftus-Cheek  20', Adrien Rabiot 48'.

14 Sep 2025 — AC Milan 1–0 Bologna (2025/2026).

Scorers: Luka Modrić 61'.

9 May 2025 — AC Milan 3–1 Bologna (2024/2025).

27 Feb 2025 — Bologna 2–1 AC Milan (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings AC Milan hold the edge (3W · 0D · 2L), with AC Milan winning 3 of 5 (60%) and averaging 2 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on AC Milan vs Bologna: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every AC Milan vs Bologna call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.