Athletic Club 1–1 Elche: Result & Analysis

Athletic Club and Elche drew 1–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Athletic Club: 52%, Draw: 30%, Elche: 18%. Predicted scoreline was 1–0 (confidence 52%).

The model favours Athletic Club (52%) at home: they create 1.3 goals/game against Elche's 1.2 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.3–0.6.

Head to Head

Athletic Club and Elche have met 3 times in the records we hold.

12 Sep 2026 — Athletic Club 1–1 Elche (2026/2027).

Scorers: Iñaki Williams  79'.

20 Feb 2026 — Athletic Club 2–1 Elche (2025/2026).

Scorers: Gorka Guruzeta 64'.

19 Oct 2025 — Elche 0–0 Athletic Club (2025/2026).

Over the last 3 meetings Athletic Club hold the edge (1W · 2D · 0L), with Athletic Club winning 1 of 3 and averaging 1 goal per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Athletic Club vs Elche: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Athletic Club vs Elche call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.