Athletic Club 2–1 Real Sociedad: Result & Analysis

Athletic Club beat Real Sociedad 2–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Athletic Club: 46%, Draw: 24%, Real Sociedad: 30%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 46%).

The model favours Athletic Club (46%) at home: they create 1.3 goals/game against Real Sociedad's 1.5 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.7–1.3.

Head to Head

Athletic Club and Real Sociedad have met 5 times in the records we hold.

1 Nov 2026 — Athletic Club 2–1 Real Sociedad (2026/2027).

Scorers: Iñaki Williams 14', Luka Sucic 30'.

1 Feb 2026 — Athletic Club 1–1 Real Sociedad (2025/2026).

Scorers: Gonçalo Guedes 37', Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta 88'.

1 Nov 2025 — Real Sociedad 3–2 Athletic Club (2025/2026).

Scorers: Brais Méndez 38', Gorka Guruzeta 42', Gonçalo Guedes 47', Robert Navarro 79'.

4 May 2025 — Real Sociedad 0–0 Athletic Club (2024/2025).

24 Nov 2024 — Athletic Club 1–0 Real Sociedad (2024/2025).

Scorers: Oihan Sancet 26'.

Over the last 5 meetings Athletic Club hold the edge (2W · 2D · 1L), with Athletic Club winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 1.2 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.