Atlético de Madrid 2–2 Villarreal: Result & Analysis
Atlético de Madrid and Villarreal drew 2–2 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Atlético de Madrid: 49%, Draw: 29%, Villarreal: 22%. Predicted scoreline was 1–0 (confidence 49%).
The model favours Atlético de Madrid (49%) at home: they create 1.6 goals/game against Villarreal's 1.0 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.3–0.8.
Head to Head
Atlético de Madrid and Villarreal have met 5 times in the records we hold.
23 Aug 2026 — Atlético de Madrid 2–2 Villarreal (2026/2027).
Scorers: Marc Pubill 59', Giuliano Simeone 85'.
24 May 2026 — Villarreal 5–1 Atlético de Madrid (2025/2026).
Scorers: Ayoze Pérez 34', Georges Mikautadze 40', Marc Pubill 43', Pape Gueye 45'.
13 Sep 2025 — Atlético de Madrid 2–0 Villarreal (2025/2026).
Scorers: Pablo Barrios 9', Nico González 52'.
25 Jan 2025 — Atlético de Madrid 1–1 Villarreal (2024/2025).
Scorers: Samuel Lino 58'.
19 Aug 2024 — Villarreal 2–2 Atlético de Madrid (2024/2025).
Scorers: Arnaut Danjuma 18', Marcos Llorente 20', Koke 37', Alexander Sørloth 45'.
Over the last 5 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (1W · 3D · 1L), with Atlético de Madrid winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 1.6 goals per game.
Explore
More on Atlético de Madrid vs Villarreal: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Atlético de Madrid vs Villarreal call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.