Auxerre 2–1 Brest: Result & Analysis

Auxerre beat Brest 2–1 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Auxerre: 19%, Draw: 20%, Brest: 61%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 61%).

The model favours Brest (61%) away: they create 1.8 goals/game and Auxerre are leaking goals (1.9 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.2–2.3.

Head to Head

Auxerre and Brest have met 5 times in the records we hold.

20 Sep 2026 — Auxerre 2–1 Brest (2026/2027).

Scorers: Pathé Mboup 23', Cameron Archer 46', R. Le Guen 83'.

21 Mar 2026 — Auxerre 3–0 Brest (2025/2026).

Scorers: Bryan Okoh 24', Bryan Okoh 58', Danny Namaso 70'.

4 Jan 2026 — Brest 2–0 Auxerre (2025/2026).

Scorers: Ludovic Ajorque 33', Joris Chotard 79'.

14 Feb 2025 — Brest 2–2 Auxerre (2024/2025).

27 Sep 2024 — Auxerre 3–0 Brest (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Auxerre hold the edge (3W · 1D · 1L), with Auxerre winning 3 of 5 (60%) and averaging 2 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Auxerre vs Brest: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Auxerre vs Brest call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.