Auxerre 0–1 Paris: Result & Analysis

Paris beat Auxerre 1–0 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Auxerre: 25%, Draw: 22%, Paris: 53%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 53%).

The model favours Paris (53%) away: they create 1.6 goals/game and Auxerre are leaking goals (1.9 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.3–2.0.

Head to Head

Auxerre and Paris have met 3 times in the records we hold.

7 Nov 2026 — Auxerre 0–1 Paris (2026/2027).

Scorers: Cameron Archer 39', Lassine Sinayoko 63'.

8 Feb 2026 — Auxerre 0–0 Paris (2025/2026).

29 Nov 2025 — Paris 1–1 Auxerre (2025/2026).

Scorers: Sinaly Diomandé 40'.

Over the last 3 meetings Paris hold the edge (0W · 2D · 1L), with Auxerre winning 0 of 3 and averaging 0.3 goals per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on Auxerre vs Paris: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Auxerre vs Paris call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.