Borussia Dortmund 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Result & Analysis
Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat Borussia Dortmund 1–0 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Borussia Dortmund: 67%, Draw: 16%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 17%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 67%).
The model favours Borussia Dortmund (67%) at home: they create 1.7 goals/game and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are leaking goals (1.9 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.8–1.4.
Head to Head
Borussia Dortmund and Bayer 04 Leverkusen have met 4 times in the records we hold.
11 Apr 2026 — Borussia Dortmund 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2025/2026).
Scorers: Robert Andrich 42'.
29 Nov 2025 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–2 Borussia Dortmund (2025/2026).
Scorers: Aarón Anselmino 41', Karim Adeyemi 65', Christian Kofane 83'.
11 May 2025 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–4 Borussia Dortmund (2024/2025).
10 Jan 2025 — Borussia Dortmund 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2024/2025).
Over the last 4 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (2W · 0D · 2L), with Borussia Dortmund winning 2 of 4 and averaging 2 goals per game.
Explore
More on Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.