Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Hamburger SV: Result & Analysis

Borussia Dortmund beat Hamburger SV 2–0 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Borussia Dortmund: 70%, Draw: 17%, Hamburger SV: 13%. Predicted scoreline was 2–0 (confidence 70%).

The model favours Borussia Dortmund (70%) at home: they create 1.7 goals/game and Hamburger SV are leaking goals (1.6 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.4–0.9.

Head to Head

Borussia Dortmund and Hamburger SV have met 3 times in the records we hold.

29 Aug 2026 — Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Hamburger SV (2026/2027).

Scorers: Serhou Guirassy 9', Sebastiaan Bornauw 45'.

21 Mar 2026 — Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Hamburger SV (2025/2026).

Scorers: Philip Otele 19', Albert Sambi Lokonga 38', Serhou Guirassy 78'.

8 Nov 2025 — Hamburger SV 1–1 Borussia Dortmund (2025/2026).

Scorers: Carney Chukwuemeka 64', Ransford Königsdörffer 90'.

Over the last 3 meetings Borussia Dortmund hold the edge (2W · 1D · 0L), with Borussia Dortmund winning 2 of 3 and averaging 2 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.