Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen: Result & Analysis

Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen drew 2–2 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Borussia Dortmund: 67%, Draw: 18%, Werder Bremen: 15%. Predicted scoreline was 2–0 (confidence 67%).

The model favours Borussia Dortmund (67%) at home: they create 1.7 goals/game against Werder Bremen's 1.5 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 2.3–1.0.

Head to Head

Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen have met 5 times in the records we hold.

9 Oct 2026 — Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen (2026/2027).

Scorers: Daniel Svensson 80', Nico Schlotterbeck 85', Ludovit Reis 88', Niclas Füllkrug 90'.

16 May 2026 — Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund (2025/2026).

Scorers: Serhou Guirassy 59', Yan Couto 90'.

13 Jan 2026 — Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Werder Bremen (2025/2026).

Scorers: Nico Schlotterbeck 11', Marcel Sabitzer 75', Serhou Guirassy 83'.

25 Jan 2025 — Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen (2024/2025).

31 Aug 2024 — Werder Bremen 0–0 Borussia Dortmund (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Borussia Dortmund hold the edge (2W · 3D · 0L), with Borussia Dortmund winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 1.8 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.