Cagliari 1–0 Lecce: Result & Analysis
Cagliari beat Lecce 1–0 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Cagliari: 39%, Draw: 27%, Lecce: 34%. Predicted scoreline was 1–0 (confidence 39%).
The model favours Cagliari (39%) at home: they create 0.9 goals/game and Lecce are leaking goals (1.7 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.3–1.2.
Head to Head
Cagliari and Lecce have met 5 times in the records we hold.
7 Sep 2026 — Cagliari 1–0 Lecce (2026/2027).
Scorers: Daniel Maldini 29'.
16 Feb 2026 — Cagliari 0–2 Lecce (2025/2026).
Scorers: Omri Gandelman 64', Ylber Ramadani 76'.
19 Sep 2025 — Lecce 1–2 Cagliari (2025/2026).
Scorers: Tiago Gabriel 5', Andrea Belotti 33'.
19 Jan 2025 — Cagliari 4–1 Lecce (2024/2025).
31 Aug 2024 — Lecce 1–0 Cagliari (2024/2025).
Over the last 5 meetings Cagliari hold the edge (3W · 0D · 2L), with Cagliari winning 3 of 5 (60%) and averaging 1.4 goals per game.
Explore
More on Cagliari vs Lecce: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Cagliari vs Lecce call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.