Celta de Vigo 2–1 Deportivo Alavés: Result & Analysis

Celta de Vigo beat Deportivo Alavés 2–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Celta de Vigo: 56%, Draw: 27%, Deportivo Alavés: 17%. Predicted scoreline was 1–0 (confidence 56%).

The model favours Celta de Vigo (56%) at home: they create 0.9 goals/game and Deportivo Alavés are leaking goals (1.8 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.5–0.7.

Head to Head

Celta de Vigo and Deportivo Alavés have met 5 times in the records we hold.

18 Oct 2026 — Celta de Vigo 2–1 Deportivo Alavés (2026/2027).

Scorers: Ferran Jutglà 53', Javi Rodríguez 71', Hugo Novoa 87'.

22 Mar 2026 — Celta de Vigo 3–4 Deportivo Alavés (2025/2026).

Scorers: Ferran Jutglà 19', Hugo Álvarez 27', Ferran Jutglà 37', Toni Martínez 45'.

22 Nov 2025 — Deportivo Alavés 0–1 Celta de Vigo (2025/2026).

27 Jan 2025 — Deportivo Alavés 1–1 Celta de Vigo (2024/2025).

Scorers: Pablo Durán 66'.

16 Aug 2024 — Celta de Vigo 2–1 Deportivo Alavés (2024/2025).

Scorers: Kike García 17', Williot Swedberg 66', Iago Aspas 84'.

Over the last 5 meetings Celta de Vigo hold the edge (3W · 1D · 1L), with Celta de Vigo winning 3 of 5 (60%) and averaging 1.8 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.