Celta de Vigo 1–1 Málaga: Result & Analysis

Celta de Vigo and Málaga drew 1–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Celta de Vigo: 50%, Draw: 27%, Málaga: 23%. Predicted scoreline was 1–0 (confidence 50%).

The model favours Celta de Vigo (50%) at home: they create 0.9 goals/game and Málaga are leaking goals (1.8 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.4–0.8.

Head to Head

Celta de Vigo and Málaga have met 1 times in the records we hold.

13 Sep 2026 — Celta de Vigo 1–1 Málaga (2026/2027).

Scorers: Ferran Jutglà 41', Adrián Niño 83'.

Over the last 1 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (0W · 1D · 0L), with Celta de Vigo winning 0 of 1 and averaging 1 goal per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Celta de Vigo vs Málaga: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Celta de Vigo vs Málaga call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.