Celta de Vigo 1–2 Real Madrid: Result & Analysis

Real Madrid beat Celta de Vigo 2–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Celta de Vigo: 14%, Draw: 26%, Real Madrid: 60%. Predicted scoreline was 0–1 (confidence 60%).

The model favours Real Madrid (60%) away: they create 2.3 goals/game against Celta de Vigo's 1.0 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 0.6–1.5.

Head to Head

Celta de Vigo and Real Madrid have met 4 times in the records we hold.

6 Mar 2026 — Celta de Vigo 1–2 Real Madrid (2025/2026).

Scorers: Aurélien Tchouaméni 11', Borja Iglesias 25', Federico Valverde 90'.

7 Dec 2025 — Real Madrid 0–2 Celta de Vigo (2025/2026).

Scorers: Williot Swedberg 53', Williot Swedberg 90'.

4 May 2025 — Real Madrid 3–2 Celta de Vigo (2024/2025).

Scorers: Arda Güler 33', Kylian Mbappé 39', Kylian Mbappé 48', Javi Rodríguez 69'.

19 Oct 2024 — Celta de Vigo 1–2 Real Madrid (2024/2025).

Scorers: Kylian Mbappé 20', Williot Swedberg 51', Vinicius Junior 66'.

Over the last 4 meetings Real Madrid hold the edge (1W · 0D · 3L), with Celta de Vigo winning 1 of 4 and averaging 1.5 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Celta de Vigo vs Real Madrid: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Celta de Vigo vs Real Madrid call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.