Deportivo Alavés 5–2 Osasuna: Result & Analysis

Deportivo Alavés beat Osasuna 5–2 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Deportivo Alavés: 39%, Draw: 25%, Osasuna: 36%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 39%).

The model favours Deportivo Alavés (39%) at home: they create 1.0 goals/game and Osasuna are leaking goals (1.7 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.5–1.4.

Head to Head

Deportivo Alavés and Osasuna have met 5 times in the records we hold.

6 Sep 2026 — Deportivo Alavés 5–2 Osasuna (2026/2027).

Scorers: Lucas Boyé 27', Mariano Díaz 36', Ante Budimir 46', Lucas Boyé 51'.

5 Apr 2026 — Deportivo Alavés 2–2 Osasuna (2025/2026).

Scorers: Valentin Rosier 4', Toni Martínez 44'.

20 Dec 2025 — Osasuna 3–0 Deportivo Alavés (2025/2026).

Scorers: Ante Budimir 72', Raúl García 90'.

24 May 2025 — Deportivo Alavés 1–1 Osasuna (2024/2025).

Scorers: Raúl García 88'.

8 Dec 2024 — Osasuna 2–2 Deportivo Alavés (2024/2025).

Scorers: Kike García 1', Ante Budimir 54', Rubén García 61', Kike García 68'.

Over the last 5 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (1W · 3D · 1L), with Deportivo Alavés winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 2 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Deportivo Alavés vs Osasuna: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Deportivo Alavés vs Osasuna call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.