Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg: Result & Analysis

Elversberg beat FC Augsburg 4–3 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Elversberg: 60%, Draw: 17%, FC Augsburg: 23%. Predicted scoreline was 3–1 (confidence 60%).

The model favours Elversberg (60%) at home: they create 1.6 goals/game and FC Augsburg are leaking goals (2.2 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 3.0–1.9.

Head to Head

Elversberg and FC Augsburg have met 1 times in the records we hold.

17 Oct 2026 — Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg (2026/2027).

Scorers: Lukas Petkov 4', Lasse Günther 7', Maximilian Rohr 28', Raif Adam 79'.

Over the last 1 meetings Elversberg hold the edge (1W · 0D · 0L), with Elversberg winning 1 of 1 and averaging 4 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Elversberg vs FC Augsburg call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.