Espanyol 0–1 Atlético de Madrid: Result & Analysis

Atlético de Madrid beat Espanyol 1–0 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Espanyol: 20%, Draw: 31%, Atlético de Madrid: 49%. Predicted scoreline was 0–1 (confidence 49%).

The model favours Atlético de Madrid (49%) away: they create 1.6 goals/game against Espanyol's 1.1 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 0.6–1.2.

Head to Head

Espanyol and Atlético de Madrid have met 5 times in the records we hold.

17 Oct 2026 — Espanyol 0–1 Atlético de Madrid (2026/2027).

Scorers: Álex Baena 89'.

21 Feb 2026 — Atlético de Madrid 4–2 Espanyol (2025/2026).

Scorers: Jofre Carreras 6', Alexander Sørloth 21', Giuliano Simeone 49', Ademola Lookman 58'.

17 Aug 2025 — Espanyol 2–1 Atlético de Madrid (2025/2026).

Scorers: Julián Alvarez 37', Miguel Rubio 73', Pere Milla 84'.

29 Mar 2025 — Espanyol 1–1 Atlético de Madrid (2024/2025).

Scorers: César Azpilicueta 38'.

28 Aug 2024 — Atlético de Madrid 0–0 Espanyol (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Atlético de Madrid hold the edge (1W · 2D · 2L), with Espanyol winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 1 goal per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Espanyol vs Atlético de Madrid: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Espanyol vs Atlético de Madrid call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.