FC Barcelona 5–2 Rayo Vallecano: Result & Analysis
FC Barcelona beat Rayo Vallecano 5–2 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — FC Barcelona: 85%, Draw: 10%, Rayo Vallecano: 5%. Predicted scoreline was 3–0 (confidence 85%).
The model favours FC Barcelona (85%) at home: they create 3.0 goals/game against Rayo Vallecano's 1.3 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 3.3–0.8.
Head to Head
FC Barcelona and Rayo Vallecano have met 5 times in the records we hold.
31 Aug 2026 — FC Barcelona 5–2 Rayo Vallecano (2026/2027).
Scorers: Sergio Camello 12', Raphinha 19', Lamine Yamal 21', Jules Koundé 45'.
22 Mar 2026 — FC Barcelona 1–0 Rayo Vallecano (2025/2026).
Scorers: Ronald Araujo 24'.
31 Aug 2025 — Rayo Vallecano 1–1 FC Barcelona (2025/2026).
Scorers: Fran Pérez 67'.
17 Feb 2025 — FC Barcelona 1–0 Rayo Vallecano (2024/2025).
27 Aug 2024 — Rayo Vallecano 1–2 FC Barcelona (2024/2025).
Scorers: Unai López 9', Pedri 60', Dani Olmo 82'.
Over the last 5 meetings FC Barcelona hold the edge (4W · 1D · 0L), with FC Barcelona winning 4 of 5 (80%) and averaging 2 goals per game.
Explore
More on FC Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every FC Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.