FC Bayern München 2–2 Borussia Dortmund: Result & Analysis
FC Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund drew 2–2 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — FC Bayern München: 59%, Draw: 19%, Borussia Dortmund: 22%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 59%).
The model favours FC Bayern München (59%) at home: they create 2.8 goals/game against Borussia Dortmund's 1.0 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 2.4–1.5.
Head to Head
FC Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund have met 5 times in the records we hold.
31 Oct 2026 — FC Bayern München 2–2 Borussia Dortmund (2026/2027).
Scorers: Jobe Bellingham 34', Konrad Laimer 38', Serhou Guirassy 60', Dayot Upamecano 66'.
28 Feb 2026 — Borussia Dortmund 2–3 FC Bayern München (2025/2026).
Scorers: Nico Schlotterbeck 26', Harry Kane 54', Daniel Svensson 83', Joshua Kimmich 87'.
18 Oct 2025 — FC Bayern München 2–1 Borussia Dortmund (2025/2026).
Scorers: Harry Kane 22', Michael Olise 78', Julian Brandt 84'.
12 Apr 2025 — FC Bayern München 2–2 Borussia Dortmund (2024/2025).
30 Nov 2024 — Borussia Dortmund 1–1 FC Bayern München (2024/2025).
Over the last 5 meetings FC Bayern München hold the edge (2W · 3D · 0L), with FC Bayern München winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 2 goals per game.
Explore
More on FC Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every FC Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.