FC Bayern München 6–1 RB Leipzig: Result & Analysis

FC Bayern München beat RB Leipzig 6–1 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — FC Bayern München: 58%, Draw: 16%, RB Leipzig: 26%. Predicted scoreline was 3–2 (confidence 58%).

The model favours FC Bayern München (58%) at home: they create 2.8 goals/game against RB Leipzig's 1.5 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 3.5–2.4.

Head to Head

FC Bayern München and RB Leipzig have met 5 times in the records we hold.

17 Oct 2026 — FC Bayern München 6–1 RB Leipzig (2026/2027).

Scorers: Luis Díaz 12', Aleksandar Pavlovic 26', Michael Olise 34', Luis Díaz 47'.

17 Jan 2026 — RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern München (2025/2026).

Scorers: Rômulo 20', Serge Gnabry 50', Harry Kane 67', Jonathan Tah 82'.

22 Aug 2025 — FC Bayern München 6–0 RB Leipzig (2025/2026).

Scorers: Michael Olise 27', Luis Díaz 32', Michael Olise 42', Harry Kane 64'.

3 May 2025 — RB Leipzig 3–3 FC Bayern München (2024/2025).

20 Dec 2024 — FC Bayern München 5–1 RB Leipzig (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings FC Bayern München hold the edge (4W · 1D · 0L), with FC Bayern München winning 4 of 5 (80%) and averaging 5 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.