FC Köln 3–2 TSG Hoffenheim: Result & Analysis

FC Köln beat TSG Hoffenheim 3–2 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — FC Köln: 29%, Draw: 22%, TSG Hoffenheim: 49%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 49%).

The model favours TSG Hoffenheim (49%) away: they create 1.9 goals/game against FC Köln's 1.5 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.4–1.9.

Head to Head

FC Köln and TSG Hoffenheim have met 3 times in the records we hold.

29 Aug 2026 — FC Köln 3–2 TSG Hoffenheim (2026/2027).

Scorers: Adam Daghim 27', Said El Mala 51', Ozan Kabak 67', Thijs Dallinga 72'.

21 Feb 2026 — FC Köln 2–2 TSG Hoffenheim (2025/2026).

Scorers: Ragnar Ache 15', Ozan Kabak 45', Andrej Kramaric 60', Said El Mala 63'.

3 Oct 2025 — TSG Hoffenheim 0–1 FC Köln (2025/2026).

Scorers: Said El Mala 16'.

Over the last 3 meetings FC Köln hold the edge (2W · 1D · 0L), with FC Köln winning 2 of 3 and averaging 2 goals per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on FC Köln vs TSG Hoffenheim: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every FC Köln vs TSG Hoffenheim call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.