FSV Mainz 05 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt: Result & Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt beat FSV Mainz 05 3–1 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — FSV Mainz 05: 54%, Draw: 18%, Eintracht Frankfurt: 28%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 54%).

The model favours FSV Mainz 05 (54%) at home: they create 1.6 goals/game and Eintracht Frankfurt are leaking goals (2.0 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.7–2.0.

Head to Head

FSV Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt have met 5 times in the records we hold.

12 Sep 2026 — FSV Mainz 05 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt (2026/2027).

Scorers: Can Uzun 9', Jonathan Burkardt 45', Can Uzun 60'.

22 Mar 2026 — FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt (2025/2026).

Scorers: Paul Nebel 6', Nathaniel Brown 20', Paul Nebel 89'.

9 Nov 2025 — Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 FSV Mainz 05 (2025/2026).

Scorers: Ritsu Doan 80'.

4 May 2025 — FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt (2024/2025).

21 Dec 2024 — Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 FSV Mainz 05 (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (2W · 1D · 2L), with FSV Mainz 05 winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 1.4 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.