FSV Mainz 05 2–3 Werder Bremen: Result & Analysis
Werder Bremen beat FSV Mainz 05 3–2 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — FSV Mainz 05: 40%, Draw: 20%, Werder Bremen: 40%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 40%).
The model favours FSV Mainz 05 (40%) at home: they create 1.6 goals/game against Werder Bremen's 1.5 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 2.1–2.1.
Head to Head
FSV Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen have met 5 times in the records we hold.
24 Oct 2026 — FSV Mainz 05 2–3 Werder Bremen (2026/2027).
Scorers: Anthony Caci 33', Ludovit Reis 61', Jae-sung Lee 63'.
15 Mar 2026 — Werder Bremen 0–2 FSV Mainz 05 (2025/2026).
Scorers: Paul Nebel 5', Jae-sung Lee 52'.
1 Nov 2025 — FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Werder Bremen (2025/2026).
Scorers: Silvan Widmer 36', Jens Stage 86'.
31 Jan 2025 — Werder Bremen 1–0 FSV Mainz 05 (2024/2025).
15 Sep 2024 — FSV Mainz 05 1–2 Werder Bremen (2024/2025).
Over the last 5 meetings Werder Bremen hold the edge (1W · 1D · 3L), with FSV Mainz 05 winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 1.2 goals per game.
Explore
More on FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.