Genoa 1–2 AC Milan: Result & Analysis

AC Milan beat Genoa 2–1 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Genoa: 32%, Draw: 25%, AC Milan: 43%. Predicted scoreline was 0–1 (confidence 43%).

The model favours AC Milan (43%) away: they create 1.9 goals/game against Genoa's 1.2 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.3–1.5.

Head to Head

Genoa and AC Milan have met 5 times in the records we hold.

8 Nov 2026 — Genoa 1–2 AC Milan (2026/2027).

Scorers: Alphadjo Cissè 13', Christian Pulisic 19', Mikael Egill Ellertsson 88'.

17 May 2026 — Genoa 1–2 AC Milan (2025/2026).

Scorers: Zachary Athekame 81', Johan Vásquez 86'.

8 Jan 2026 — AC Milan 1–1 Genoa (2025/2026).

Scorers: Lorenzo Colombo 28', Rafael Leão 90'.

5 May 2025 — Genoa 1–2 AC Milan (2024/2025).

15 Dec 2024 — AC Milan 0–0 Genoa (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings AC Milan hold the edge (0W · 2D · 3L), with Genoa winning 0 of 5 (0%) and averaging 0.8 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Genoa vs AC Milan: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Genoa vs AC Milan call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.