Genoa 2–1 Fiorentina: Result & Analysis
Genoa beat Fiorentina 2–1 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Genoa: 50%, Draw: 23%, Fiorentina: 27%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 50%).
The model favours Genoa (50%) at home: they create 1.2 goals/game and Fiorentina are leaking goals (1.8 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.8–1.3.
Head to Head
Genoa and Fiorentina have met 5 times in the records we hold.
10 Oct 2026 — Genoa 2–1 Fiorentina (2026/2027).
Scorers: Milutin Osmajic 7', Junior Messias 15', Johan Vásquez 73'.
10 May 2026 — Fiorentina 0–0 Genoa (2025/2026).
9 Nov 2025 — Genoa 2–2 Fiorentina (2025/2026).
Scorers: Leo Østigård 15', Roberto Piccoli 57', Lorenzo Colombo 60'.
2 Feb 2025 — Fiorentina 2–1 Genoa (2024/2025).
31 Oct 2024 — Genoa 0–1 Fiorentina (2024/2025).
Over the last 5 meetings Fiorentina hold the edge (1W · 2D · 2L), with Genoa winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 1 goal per game.
Explore
More on Genoa vs Fiorentina: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Genoa vs Fiorentina call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.