Getafe 1–1 Rayo Vallecano: Result & Analysis

Getafe and Rayo Vallecano drew 1–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Getafe: 26%, Draw: 30%, Rayo Vallecano: 44%. Predicted scoreline was 0–1 (confidence 44%).

The model favours Rayo Vallecano (44%) away: they create 1.1 goals/game against Getafe's 1.6 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 0.8–1.2.

Head to Head

Getafe and Rayo Vallecano have met 5 times in the records we hold.

19 Oct 2026 — Getafe 1–1 Rayo Vallecano (2026/2027).

Scorers: Álvaro García 11', Martín Satriano 56'.

3 May 2026 — Getafe 0–2 Rayo Vallecano (2025/2026).

Scorers: Sergio Camello 38', Randy Nteka 73'.

2 Jan 2026 — Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Getafe (2025/2026).

Scorers: Jorge de Frutos 45', Mauro Arambarri 90'.

2 May 2025 — Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Getafe (2024/2025).

Scorers: Florian Lejeune 7'.

24 Aug 2024 — Getafe 0–0 Rayo Vallecano (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Rayo Vallecano hold the edge (0W · 3D · 2L), with Getafe winning 0 of 5 (0%) and averaging 0.4 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.