Hamburger SV 2–1 FC Köln: Result & Analysis

Hamburger SV beat FC Köln 2–1 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Hamburger SV: 51%, Draw: 24%, FC Köln: 25%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 51%).

The model favours Hamburger SV (51%) at home: they create 1.4 goals/game against FC Köln's 1.5 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.8–1.2.

Head to Head

Hamburger SV and FC Köln have met 3 times in the records we hold.

19 Sep 2026 — Hamburger SV 2–1 FC Köln (2026/2027).

Scorers: Nicolás Capaldo 44', Yussuf Poulsen  49', Ragnar Ache 90'.

14 Mar 2026 — Hamburger SV 1–1 FC Köln (2025/2026).

Scorers: Fábio Vieira 39', Said El Mala 45'.

2 Nov 2025 — FC Köln 4–1 Hamburger SV (2025/2026).

Scorers: Ragnar Ache 25', Florian Kainz 48', Jean-Luc Dompé 61', Said El Mala 90'.

Over the last 3 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (1W · 1D · 1L), with Hamburger SV winning 1 of 3 and averaging 1.3 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Hamburger SV vs FC Köln: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Hamburger SV vs FC Köln call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.