Hamburger SV 3–2 SC Freiburg: Result & Analysis

Hamburger SV beat SC Freiburg 3–2 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Hamburger SV: 39%, Draw: 22%, SC Freiburg: 39%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 39%).

The model favours SC Freiburg (39%) away: they create 1.6 goals/game and Hamburger SV are leaking goals (1.6 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.8–1.8.

Head to Head

Hamburger SV and SC Freiburg have met 2 times in the records we hold.

10 May 2026 — Hamburger SV 3–2 SC Freiburg (2025/2026).

Scorers: Bakery Jatta 14', Igor Matanovic 16', Luka Vuskovic 64', Fabio Baldé 67'.

10 Jan 2026 — SC Freiburg 2–1 Hamburger SV (2025/2026).

Scorers: Luka Vuskovic 48', Igor Matanovic 83'.

Over the last 2 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (1W · 0D · 1L), with Hamburger SV winning 1 of 2 and averaging 2 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.