Hamburger SV 1–0 VfB Stuttgart: Result & Analysis

Hamburger SV beat VfB Stuttgart 1–0 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Hamburger SV: 30%, Draw: 21%, VfB Stuttgart: 49%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 49%).

The model favours VfB Stuttgart (49%) away: they create 2.0 goals/game and Hamburger SV are leaking goals (1.6 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.6–2.1.

Head to Head

Hamburger SV and VfB Stuttgart have met 3 times in the records we hold.

17 Oct 2026 — Hamburger SV 1–0 VfB Stuttgart (2026/2027).

Scorers: Miro Muheim 88'.

12 Apr 2026 — VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Hamburger SV (2025/2026).

Scorers: Angelo Stiller 21', Chris Führich 32', Maximilian Mittelstädt 56', Bilal El Khannouss 86'.

30 Nov 2025 — Hamburger SV 2–1 VfB Stuttgart (2025/2026).

Scorers: Robert Glatzel 17', Deniz Undav 54', Fábio Vieira 90'.

Over the last 3 meetings Hamburger SV hold the edge (2W · 0D · 1L), with Hamburger SV winning 2 of 3 and averaging 1 goal per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.