Inter 2–1 Fiorentina: Result & Analysis

Inter beat Fiorentina 2–1 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Inter: 82%, Draw: 11%, Fiorentina: 7%. Predicted scoreline was 3–1 (confidence 82%).

The model favours Inter (82%) at home: they create 2.2 goals/game and Fiorentina are leaking goals (1.8 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 3.4–1.0.

Head to Head

Inter and Fiorentina have met 5 times in the records we hold.

25 Oct 2026 — Inter 2–1 Fiorentina (2026/2027).

Scorers: Alejandro Jiménez Sánchez 65', Marcus Thuram 90'.

22 Mar 2026 — Fiorentina 1–1 Inter (2025/2026).

Scorers: Pio Esposito 1', Cher Ndour 77'.

29 Oct 2025 — Inter 3–0 Fiorentina (2025/2026).

Scorers: Hakan Çalhanoğlu  66', Petar Sučić 71'.

10 Feb 2025 — Inter 2–1 Fiorentina (2024/2025).

6 Feb 2025 — Fiorentina 3–0 Inter (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Inter hold the edge (3W · 1D · 1L), with Inter winning 3 of 5 (60%) and averaging 1.6 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Inter vs Fiorentina: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Inter vs Fiorentina call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.