Lazio 2–2 AC Milan: Result & Analysis
Lazio and AC Milan drew 2–2 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Lazio: 57%, Draw: 21%, AC Milan: 22%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 57%).
The model favours Lazio (57%) at home: they create 1.9 goals/game against AC Milan's 1.3 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 2.1–1.3.
Head to Head
Lazio and AC Milan have met 5 times in the records we hold.
12 Sep 2026 — Lazio 2–2 AC Milan (2026/2027).
Scorers: Matteo Cancellieri 10', Tijjani Noslin 39', Diego Moreira 65', Diego Moreira 67'.
15 Mar 2026 — Lazio 1–0 AC Milan (2025/2026).
Scorers: Gustav Isaksen 26'.
29 Nov 2025 — AC Milan 1–0 Lazio (2025/2026).
Scorers: Rafael Leão 51'.
2 Mar 2025 — AC Milan 1–2 Lazio (2024/2025).
31 Aug 2024 — Lazio 2–2 AC Milan (2024/2025).
Over the last 5 meetings Lazio hold the edge (2W · 2D · 1L), with Lazio winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 1.4 goals per game.
Explore
More on Lazio vs AC Milan: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Lazio vs AC Milan call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.