Lens 1–2 Olympique Marseille: Result & Analysis
Olympique Marseille beat Lens 2–1 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Lens: 44%, Draw: 21%, Olympique Marseille: 35%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 44%).
The model favours Lens (44%) at home: they create 1.8 goals/game against Olympique Marseille's 1.4 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 2.1–1.9.
Head to Head
Lens and Olympique Marseille have met 5 times in the records we hold.
8 Nov 2026 — Lens 1–2 Olympique Marseille (2026/2027).
Scorers: Amine Gouiri 2', Florian Thauvin 20', Keyliane Abdallah 82'.
24 Jan 2026 — Olympique Marseille 3–1 Lens (2025/2026).
Scorers: Amine Gouiri 3', Ethan Nwaneri 13', Amine Gouiri 75', Rayan Fofana 85'.
25 Oct 2025 — Lens 2–1 Olympique Marseille (2025/2026).
Scorers: Mason Greenwood 17', Benjamin Pavard 53'.
8 Mar 2025 — Olympique Marseille 0–1 Lens (2024/2025).
23 Nov 2024 — Lens 1–3 Olympique Marseille (2024/2025).
Over the last 5 meetings Olympique Marseille hold the edge (2W · 0D · 3L), with Lens winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 1.2 goals per game.
Explore
More on Lens vs Olympique Marseille: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Lens vs Olympique Marseille call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.