Lens vs Toulouse Match Centre

Lens face Toulouse in the Ligue 1. Everything on Lens against Toulouse in one place: the head-to-head record, the model's read and where to find the rest.

Match Prediction

Model win probability — Lens: 53%, Draw: 23%, Toulouse: 24%. Predicted scoreline: 2–1 (confidence 53%).

The model favours Lens (53%) at home: they create 1.8 goals/game against Toulouse's 1.2 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.8–1.2.

Head to Head

Lens and Toulouse have met 4 times in the records we hold.

17 Apr 2026 — Lens 3–2 Toulouse (2025/2026).

Scorers: Cristian Cásseres Jr. 6', Seny Koumbassa 13', Saud Abdulhamid 61', Adrien Thomasson  67'.

2 Jan 2026 — Toulouse 0–3 Lens (2025/2026).

Scorers: Wesley Saïd  57', Adrien Thomasson  85', Ismaëlo Ganiou 90'.

10 May 2025 — Toulouse 1–1 Lens (2024/2025).

5 Jan 2025 — Lens 0–1 Toulouse (2024/2025).

Over the last 4 meetings Lens hold the edge (2W · 1D · 1L), with Lens winning 2 of 4 and averaging 1.8 goals per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on Lens vs Toulouse: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

This is the Lens vs Toulouse match centre. The score prediction, odds analysis, model picks, referee record and squad comparison each have their own page.