Lorient 2–2 Toulouse: Result & Analysis

Lorient and Toulouse drew 2–2 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Lorient: 42%, Draw: 31%, Toulouse: 27%. Predicted scoreline was 1–0 (confidence 42%).

The model favours Lorient (42%) at home: they create 1.1 goals/game against Toulouse's 1.2 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.1–0.8.

Head to Head

Lorient and Toulouse have met 3 times in the records we hold.

12 Sep 2026 — Lorient 2–2 Toulouse (2026/2027).

Scorers: Ibrahima Baldé 37', Noah Mbamba 39', Casper Tengstedt 48', Thomas Jørgensen 68'.

21 Mar 2026 — Toulouse 1–0 Lorient (2025/2026).

Scorers: Emersonn 81'.

9 Nov 2025 — Lorient 1–1 Toulouse (2025/2026).

Over the last 3 meetings Toulouse hold the edge (0W · 2D · 1L), with Lorient winning 0 of 3 and averaging 1 goal per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Lorient vs Toulouse: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Lorient vs Toulouse call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.