LOSC Lille 2–2 Paris Saint Germain: Result & Analysis

LOSC Lille and Paris Saint Germain drew 2–2 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — LOSC Lille: 25%, Draw: 29%, Paris Saint Germain: 46%. Predicted scoreline was 0–1 (confidence 46%).

The model favours Paris Saint Germain (46%) away: they create 2.5 goals/game but LOSC Lille defend well (0.8 conceded/game), which tempers the edge. With home advantage, projected around 0.9–1.3.

Head to Head

LOSC Lille and Paris Saint Germain have met 5 times in the records we hold.

28 Aug 2026 — LOSC Lille 2–2 Paris Saint Germain (2026/2027).

Scorers: Hákon Arnar Haraldsson 21', Dilane Bakwa 84', Vitinha 90', Marquinhos  90'.

16 Jan 2026 — Paris Saint Germain 3–0 LOSC Lille (2025/2026).

Scorers: Ousmane Dembélé 13', Ousmane Dembélé 64', Bradley Barcola 90'.

5 Oct 2025 — LOSC Lille 1–1 Paris Saint Germain (2025/2026).

Scorers: Nuno Mendes 66', Ethan Mbappé 85'.

1 Mar 2025 — Paris Saint Germain 4–1 LOSC Lille (2024/2025).

1 Sep 2024 — LOSC Lille 1–3 Paris Saint Germain (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Paris Saint Germain hold the edge (0W · 2D · 3L), with LOSC Lille winning 0 of 5 (0%) and averaging 1 goal per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on LOSC Lille vs Paris Saint Germain: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every LOSC Lille vs Paris Saint Germain call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.