Monaco 2–1 Lens: Result & Analysis

Monaco beat Lens 2–1 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Monaco: 28%, Draw: 23%, Lens: 49%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 49%).

The model favours Lens (49%) away: they create 1.8 goals/game against Monaco's 1.5 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.3–1.8.

Head to Head

Monaco and Lens have met 5 times in the records we hold.

18 Sep 2026 — Monaco 2–1 Lens (2026/2027).

Scorers: Paris Brunner 32', Matthieu Udol 57', Jonathan Gradit  84'.

21 Feb 2026 — Lens 2–3 Monaco (2025/2026).

Scorers: Odsonne Édouard 3', Florian Thauvin 56', Folarin Balogun 62', Denis Zakaria 70'.

8 Nov 2025 — Monaco 1–4 Lens (2025/2026).

Scorers: Odsonne Édouard 21', Wesley Saïd  40', Mamadou Sangaré 45', Wesley Saïd  60'.

17 May 2025 — Lens 4–0 Monaco (2024/2025).

1 Sep 2024 — Monaco 1–1 Lens (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (2W · 1D · 2L), with Monaco winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 1.4 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Monaco vs Lens: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Monaco vs Lens call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.