Monza 1–4 Napoli: Result & Analysis

Napoli beat Monza 4–1 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Monza: 37%, Draw: 23%, Napoli: 40%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 40%).

The model favours Napoli (40%) away: they create 1.5 goals/game and Monza are leaking goals (1.7 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.6–1.7.

Head to Head

Monza and Napoli have met 3 times in the records we hold.

28 Oct 2026 — Monza 1–4 Napoli (2026/2027).

Scorers: Rasmus Højlund 10', Gustavo Varela 43', Matteo Politano 48', Rafa Marín 62'.

19 Apr 2025 — Monza 0–1 Napoli (2024/2025).

29 Sep 2024 — Napoli 2–0 Monza (2024/2025).

Over the last 3 meetings Napoli hold the edge (0W · 0D · 3L), with Monza winning 0 of 3 and averaging 0.3 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Monza vs Napoli: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Monza vs Napoli call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.