Olympique Marseille 1–2 Paris Saint Germain: Result & Analysis

Paris Saint Germain beat Olympique Marseille 2–1 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Olympique Marseille: 27%, Draw: 20%, Paris Saint Germain: 53%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 53%).

The model favours Paris Saint Germain (53%) away: they create 2.5 goals/game against Olympique Marseille's 1.4 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.6–2.2.

Head to Head

Olympique Marseille and Paris Saint Germain have met 5 times in the records we hold.

20 Sep 2026 — Olympique Marseille 1–2 Paris Saint Germain (2026/2027).

Scorers: Ferran Torres 66', Angel Gomes 72', Marquinhos  74'.

8 Feb 2026 — Paris Saint Germain 5–0 Olympique Marseille (2025/2026).

Scorers: Ousmane Dembélé 12', Ousmane Dembélé 37', Facundo Medina 64', Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 66'.

22 Sep 2025 — Olympique Marseille 1–0 Paris Saint Germain (2025/2026).

Scorers: Marquinhos 5'.

16 Mar 2025 — Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Olympique Marseille (2024/2025).

27 Oct 2024 — Olympique Marseille 0–3 Paris Saint Germain (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Paris Saint Germain hold the edge (1W · 0D · 4L), with Olympique Marseille winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 0.6 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Olympique Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Olympique Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.