Olympique Marseille 2–0 Toulouse: Result & Analysis
Olympique Marseille beat Toulouse 2–0 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Olympique Marseille: 61%, Draw: 19%, Toulouse: 20%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 60%).
The model favours Olympique Marseille (61%) at home: they create 2.4 goals/game against Toulouse's 1.2 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 2.4–1.3.
Head to Head
Olympique Marseille and Toulouse have met 5 times in the records we hold.
1 Nov 2026 — Olympique Marseille 2–0 Toulouse (2026/2027).
Scorers: Amine Harit 1', Amine Gouiri 25', Casper Tengstedt 68'.
7 Mar 2026 — Toulouse 0–1 Olympique Marseille (2025/2026).
Scorers: Mason Greenwood 18'.
29 Nov 2025 — Olympique Marseille 2–2 Toulouse (2025/2026).
Scorers: Emersonn 14', Igor Paixão 66', Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 74', Santiago Hidalgo 90'.
6 Apr 2025 — Olympique Marseille 3–2 Toulouse (2024/2025).
31 Aug 2024 — Toulouse 1–3 Olympique Marseille (2024/2025).
Over the last 5 meetings Olympique Marseille hold the edge (4W · 1D · 0L), with Olympique Marseille winning 4 of 5 (80%) and averaging 2.2 goals per game.
Explore
More on Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.