Paderborn 1–0 Hamburger SV: Result & Analysis

Paderborn beat Hamburger SV 1–0 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Paderborn: 48%, Draw: 24%, Hamburger SV: 28%. Predicted scoreline was 1–0 (confidence 48%).

The model favours Paderborn (48%) at home: they create 1.2 goals/game and Hamburger SV are leaking goals (1.6 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.6–1.2.

Head to Head

Paderborn and Hamburger SV have met 1 times in the records we hold.

24 Oct 2026 — Paderborn 1–0 Hamburger SV (2026/2027).

Scorers: Rayan Philippe 88'.

Over the last 1 meetings Paderborn hold the edge (1W · 0D · 0L), with Paderborn winning 1 of 1 and averaging 1 goal per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on Paderborn vs Hamburger SV: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Paderborn vs Hamburger SV call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.