Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Auxerre: Result & Analysis

Paris Saint Germain beat Auxerre 3–1 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Paris Saint Germain: 92%, Draw: 6%, Auxerre: 2%. Predicted scoreline was 4–0 (confidence 92%).

The model favours Paris Saint Germain (92%) at home: they create 2.5 goals/game and Auxerre are leaking goals (1.9 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 4.0–0.6.

Head to Head

Paris Saint Germain and Auxerre have met 4 times in the records we hold.

23 Jan 2026 — Auxerre 0–1 Paris Saint Germain (2025/2026).

Scorers: Bradley Barcola 79'.

27 Sep 2025 — Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Auxerre (2025/2026).

Scorers: Ilya Zabarnyi 32', Lucas Beraldo 54'.

17 May 2025 — Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Auxerre (2024/2025).

6 Dec 2024 — Auxerre 0–0 Paris Saint Germain (2024/2025).

Over the last 4 meetings Paris Saint Germain hold the edge (3W · 1D · 0L), with Paris Saint Germain winning 3 of 4 and averaging 1.5 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Paris Saint Germain vs Auxerre: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Paris Saint Germain vs Auxerre call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.