Paris 3–1 Monaco: Result & Analysis

Paris beat Monaco 3–1 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Paris: 57%, Draw: 21%, Monaco: 22%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 57%).

The model favours Paris (57%) at home: they create 1.6 goals/game against Monaco's 1.5 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 2.0–1.2.

Head to Head

Paris and Monaco have met 3 times in the records we hold.

1 Nov 2026 — Paris 3–1 Monaco (2026/2027).

Scorers: Lassine Sinayoko 38', Lassine Sinayoko 44', Folarin Balogun 65', Pablo Pagis 74'.

10 Apr 2026 — Paris 4–1 Monaco (2025/2026).

Scorers: Jonathan Ikoné 4', Ciro Immobile 8', Jonathan Ikoné 21', Folarin Balogun 36'.

1 Nov 2025 — Monaco 0–1 Paris (2025/2026).

Scorers: Moses Simon 53'.

Over the last 3 meetings Paris hold the edge (3W · 0D · 0L), with Paris winning 3 of 3 and averaging 2.7 goals per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on Paris vs Monaco: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Paris vs Monaco call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.